China’s move from Authoritarian Governance to Autocratic Governance significantly Weakens China
China has seen unprecedented growth and raised hundreds of
millions out of poverty over the past decades, and continued
Chinese development and prosperity is in the world’s
best interest. Unfortunately, looking at China's policies writ
large, we're witnessing an integrity backslide.
While an authoritarian government, China has successfully navigated economic
challenges in recent years. A structural weakness of authoritarian
governance (i.e., one party rule) will be a stifling of policy
options and repression of dissent, but this can be overcome with
competent governance, as it was over the past decades.
Democracy is prone to policy swings and a fickle electorate,
where some may yearn for the stability of strongman rule, in the
model of a prosperous China.
But with Xi Jinping’s extended rule into an unprecedented third
term as general secretary of the Chinese Communist Party, it has
definitively moved from authoritarian governance where
government could be counted on to manage itself responsibly,
into governance that is squarely autocratic. Moving into this
new category has intensified risks what were previously managed
reasonably well.
From a foreign policy perspective, just as Russia can no longer
accurately be referred to as the government of Russia but rather
of Putin, so too China can no longer accurately be referred to
as the government of China but rather of Xi Jinping. It’s
reasonable to view some of this shift as a response to the
United States’ Trumpian "America First" movement, which shuns
international cooperation that has served the US so well for
generations. China is mimicking such policies, heightening risks
internationally, with a predictable loss of international
friends and stature.
Autocratic governance under Xi Jinping values loyalty above
competence, which, similar to Putin, already has seen
intensification of nationalist policy over truth and reality.
When dissenting voices are shunned and censored, and nationalist
rhetoric are intensified in an echo chamber, repression
domestically and militarism internationally will be the result. The economic implications are even worse, as economics provided
the foundation of China’s economic rise.
China’s one-child policy has set itself up with huge demographic
challenges that some analysts view as nothing less than
calamitous. While this could be manageable, foreign investment
has been the result of China’s more hawkish behaviors, as well
as the loss of guardrails that go with one-man rule vs.
one-party rule. It can be reasonable argued that much of China’s
prosperity was the result of its opening up to the outside
world, and that this will be reversed as it closes itself off.
Chinese, expatriates, diaspora, or anyone supportive of Chinese
self-determination are invited to collaborate and strategize the
promotion of China’s prosperity in the world community.
Global Publics aims to add another avenue to pressure the regime
into promoting responsible governance.
Beyond the mandate of Global Publics to bind nations under
precepts of collective security, environmental integrity, and
anti-corruption, policies include:
• Whereas the current regime’s one China policy presents an
existential threat to Taiwan, reunification can only occur by
democratic means to be legitimate.
• Whereas the current regime persecutes minority religious
views, notably Uyghurs in Xinjiang, and Buddhists in Tibet,
freedom of religious belief will be respected.